Arkansas State

Sun Belt
6-6
257.4
PASS YDS/G
134.0
RUSH YDS/G
24.4
PTS FOR/G
27.3
PTS AGAINST/G
2025 Schedule
REGULAR SEASON
WK 1
vs
Southeast Missouri State
42 - 24
W
WK 2
@
Arkansas
14 - 56
L
WK 3
vs
Iowa State
16 - 24
L
WK 4
@
Kennesaw State
21 - 28
L
WK 5
@
UL Monroe
16 - 28
L
WK 6
vs
Texas State
31 - 30
W
WK 8
@
South Alabama
15 - 14
W
WK 9
vs
Georgia Southern
34 - 24
W
WK 10
@
Troy
23 - 10
W
WK 11
vs
Southern Miss
21 - 27
L
WK 13
vs
Louisiana
30 - 34
L
WK 14
@
App State
30 - 29
W
POST SEASON
POST
vs
Missouri State Xbox Bowl
34 - 28
W
Sun Belt Standings
TEAM W L PCT PF PA
12 1 0.923 485 206
9 3 0.750 392 231
8 5 0.615 316 318
7 5 0.583 358 329
6 6 0.500 433 367
6 6 0.500 293 328
6 6 0.500 334 410
6 6 0.500 274 407
6 6 0.500 325 360
5 7 0.417 304 358
5 7 0.417 369 363
4 8 0.333 318 365
3 9 0.250 199 383
1 11 0.083 237 454
SP+ Ratings
Bill Connelly's SP+ model ยท 2025
Overall
-8.8
#100 Nationally
Offense
24.4
#90 Nationally
Defense
33.5
#111 Nationally
Special Teams
0.3
SP+ Rating
SP+ Trend
5-Year Rating History
-17.9
2021
#119
-13.0
2022
#106
-6.3
2023
#84
-9.9
2024
#104
-8.8
2025
#100
Recruiting Rankings
2025 Class
#75
173.3 pts
2024 Class
#78
167.3 pts
2023 Class
#74
168.1 pts
2022 Class
#67
166.6 pts
Havoc & Field Position
2025 FBS
Def Havoc Rate
15.5%
Front 7 Havoc
10.6%
DB Havoc
4.9%
Off Field Pos
69.6 yd line
Advanced Stats โ€” Percentile Rankings
vs all 136 FBS teams ยท Garbage time excluded
PERCENTILE:
80โ€“99
60โ€“79
45โ€“59
25โ€“44
1โ€“24
OFFENSE
POOR AVERAGE GREAT
EPA / Play
18
0.095
Success Rate
48
42.0%
Explosiveness
7
1.156
Power Success
41
70.2%
Stuff Rate
18
21.2%
Line Yards / Carry
12
2.65
2nd Level Yards
13
0.91
Open Field Yards
10
0.79
Rush EPA / Play
8
-0.008
Pass EPA / Play
37
0.214
Rush Success Rate
26
40.0%
Pass Success Rate
65
43.8%
Rush Explosiveness
7
0.805
Pass Explosiveness
10
1.401
DEFENSE
POOR AVERAGE GREAT
EPA / Play Allowed
35
0.191
Success Rate Allowed
32
43.4%
Explosiveness Allowed
32
1.292
Power Success Allowed
64
68.6%
Stuff Rate
53
19.3%
Line Yards Allowed
68
2.75
2nd Level Yds Allowed
26
1.13
Open Field Yds Allowed
21
1.42
Rush EPA Allowed
40
0.118
Pass EPA Allowed
26
0.309
Rush Success Allowed
39
43.6%
Pass Success Allowed
28
43.6%
Rush Explosiveness Allowed
30
1.012
Pass Explosiveness Allowed
35
1.585
Stats Glossary
SP+
Bill Connelly's tempo- and opponent-adjusted efficiency metric. Combines offense, defense, and special teams into a single predictive rating. Higher is better.
EPA / Play
Expected Points Added per play. Measures how much a team moves the needle toward scoring relative to what's expected given down, distance, and field position. The single best measure of efficiency.
Success Rate
The percentage of plays deemed "successful" โ€” gaining 50% of yards needed on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, or 100% on 3rd/4th. Measures consistency.
Explosiveness
Average EPA on successful plays only. Measures the ability to create big gains when things go right. High explosiveness with high success rate = elite offense.
Power Success
Percentage of short-yardage situations (2nd/3rd/4th and โ‰ค2 yards) converted. Measures ability to win in the trenches.
Stuff Rate
Percentage of rush attempts stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage. High offensive stuff rate = bad O-line. High defensive stuff rate = dominant D-line.
Line Yards / Carry
Rushing yards credited to the offensive line (first 5 yards). Isolates O-line performance from the running back's contribution.
2nd Level Yards
Rushing yards gained 5โ€“10 yards past the line of scrimmage. Represents yards where linebackers have primary responsibility.
Open Field Yards
Rushing yards gained beyond 10 yards. Largely a function of the running back's speed and elusiveness in space.
Rush / Pass EPA
EPA per play broken down by run vs pass. Helps identify whether a team's success comes from the ground or through the air.
Rush / Pass Success Rate
Success rate broken down by run vs pass. Shows whether a team is consistently effective in each phase.
Rush / Pass Explosiveness
Average EPA on successful rush or pass plays only. Identifies big-play threats in each phase of the offense.
#58
Ambrose
LT
#70
Baucom
LG
#74
Cannon
C
#51
Channell
RG
#54
Davis
RT
#7
Rucker
WR1
#87
Little
TE
#16
Cobb
WR2
#8
Flowers
QB
#24
Spencer
RB
Passing Leaders
Rk Player Cmp Att Yds โ†“ TD INT Pct Y/A
01
J
Jaylen Raynor
315 469 3076 16 11 67.2% 6.6
02 2 6 13 1 1 33.3% 2.2
Rushing Leaders
Rk Player Att Yds โ†“ Avg TD Long
01 โ€” 523 5.1 2 43
02 โ€” 470 3.7 3 30
03
J
Jaylen Raynor
โ€” 439 2.9 7 42
04 โ€” 60 6.7 0 16
05 โ€” 38 4.8 0 23
06
J
Ja'Quez Cross
โ€” 36 4.5 1 8
07 โ€” 23 5.8 0 16
08 โ€” 16 4.0 0 4
09 โ€” 4 4.0 0 4
Receiving Leaders
Rk Player Rec Yds โ†“ Avg TD Long
01 67 863 12.9 3 55
02 69 767 11.1 0 51
03 43 466 10.8 4 43
04
T
Tyler Fortenberry
31 279 9.0 2 28
05 36 192 5.3 3 27
06 20 172 8.6 2 34
07 23 128 5.6 0 13
08 6 71 11.8 1 28
09 10 70 7.0 0 28
10
N
Nazeviah Burris
3 34 11.3 0 15
11
J
Ja'Quez Cross
5 33 6.6 1 13
12 1 6 6.0 0 6
13 1 3 3.0 0 3
14 1 3 3.0 0 3
15 1 2 2.0 1 2
Defensive Leaders
Rk Player Solo Ast Tot โ†“ TFL Sacks Int PD
01
A
Aaron Alexander
35 โ€” 89 3 0 โ€” โ€”
02 40 โ€” 76 2 0 โ€” 5
03 24 โ€” 74 1 0 โ€” โ€”
04 28 โ€” 62 2 0 โ€” 1
05 18 โ€” 52 10 6 โ€” 1
06 26 โ€” 52 3 1 โ€” 1
07 17 โ€” 50 11 6 โ€” 1
08 31 โ€” 48 1 1 โ€” 4
09 18 โ€” 48 1 1 โ€” 1
10 32 โ€” 47 2 0 โ€” 4
11 13 โ€” 42 2 1 โ€” 1
12
C
Christopher Boti
9 โ€” 33 2 1 โ€” 1
13
C
Cody Sigler
12 โ€” 28 4 3 โ€” 5
14
J
Javante Mackey
16 โ€” 25 2 0 โ€” โ€”
15 10 โ€” 22 2 0 โ€” 2
16
B
Bryan Whitehead II
11 โ€” 19 8 3 โ€” 2
17
T
Terry Kirksey Jr.
7 โ€” 18 0 0 โ€” โ€”
18 5 โ€” 15 0 0 โ€” โ€”
19 3 โ€” 10 1 0 โ€” โ€”
20 6 โ€” 8 0 0 โ€” 2
21 5 โ€” 8 0 0 โ€” 1
22 3 โ€” 6 1 1 โ€” โ€”
23 1 โ€” 5 0 0 โ€” โ€”
24
J
Jordan Sample
2 โ€” 5 0 0 โ€” โ€”
25
D
Drew Collins
3 โ€” 5 3 2 โ€” โ€”
26 3 โ€” 5 0 0 โ€” โ€”
27 4 โ€” 4 0 0 โ€” โ€”
28 3 โ€” 4 0 0 โ€” โ€”
29 2 โ€” 3 0 0 โ€” โ€”
30 1 โ€” 3 0 0 โ€” โ€”
31 1 โ€” 3 1 1 โ€” โ€”
32 3 โ€” 3 0 0 โ€” โ€”
33 2 โ€” 2 0 0 โ€” 1
34 2 โ€” 2 0 0 โ€” โ€”
35 1 โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
36 1 โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
37 โ€” โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
38
J
Jaylen Raynor
1 โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
39 โ€” โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
40 โ€” โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
41 1 โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
42 1 โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
43
T
Tyler Fortenberry
โ€” โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
44
J
Jackson Waller
1 โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
45 โ€” โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
46 โ€” โ€” 1 0 0 โ€” โ€”
Kicking
Player FGM FGA Pct Long
19 24 79.2% 53
Punting
Player No Yds Avg Long
J
Jackson Waller
54 2234 41.4 57
Offense
61 players
Player Pos Ht Wt Yr
Jax Brown #26
QB 6'3" 195 lbs Fr
QB 6'0" 200 lbs Jr
QB 6'1" 210 lbs Sr
QB 6'3" 215 lbs Fr
QB 6'1" 170 lbs Fr
QB 6'1" 198 lbs Fr
QB 6'5" 219 lbs Fr
QB 6'4" 220 lbs So
RB 5'11" 175 lbs Fr
RB 5'7" 180 lbs Fr
RB 6'1" 220 lbs Jr
RB 5'7" 196 lbs So
RB 5'8" 160 lbs Fr
RB 5'8" 185 lbs So
RB 5'10" 191 lbs Fr
RB 5'11" 204 lbs So
WR 5'11" 175 lbs So
WR 5'9" 186 lbs Sr
WR 6'0" 172 lbs Jr
WR 5'11" 177 lbs Jr
WR 5'11" 195 lbs Sr
WR 5'6" 163 lbs So
WR 5'9" 190 lbs Fr
WR 5'10" 174 lbs Fr
WR 6'1" 199 lbs Fr
WR 6'1" 155 lbs Fr
Quan Lee #21
WR 5'11" 184 lbs Jr
WR 5'10" 176 lbs Jr
WR 6'0" 213 lbs Sr
WR 5'10" 190 lbs Sr
TJ Starks #85
WR 6'1" 174 lbs Fr
WR 6'4" 211 lbs Fr
WR 6'3" 161 lbs So
TE 6'4" 236 lbs So
TE 6'4" 228 lbs Fr
TE 6'2" 235 lbs Fr
TE 6'5" 234 lbs Fr
TE 6'6" 250 lbs So
TE 6'4" 237 lbs Jr
TE 6'4" 220 lbs Fr
OL 6'4" 295 lbs Jr
OL 6'5" 280 lbs Fr
OL 6'4" 304 lbs So
OL 6'5" 294 lbs Fr
OL 6'3" 301 lbs So
OL 6'3" 324 lbs So
OL 6'7" 284 lbs Fr
OL 6'3" 310 lbs Jr
OL 6'5" 298 lbs Fr
OL 6'5" 310 lbs Fr
OL 6'5" 314 lbs Fr
OL 6'3" 300 lbs Fr
OL 6'4" 298 lbs So
OL 6'3" 328 lbs Fr
OL 6'3" 309 lbs Jr
OL 6'3" 321 lbs Jr
OL 6'7" 304 lbs Sr
OL 6'4" 321 lbs Sr
OL 6'6" 328 lbs Fr
OL 6'4" 313 lbs Jr
OL 6'3" 323 lbs Fr
Defense
57 players
Player Pos Ht Wt Yr
DE 6'1" 227 lbs Sr
DE 6'3" 285 lbs So
DE 6'3" 225 lbs Fr
DE 6'3" 247 lbs Sr
DE 6'2" 268 lbs Fr
DE 6'2" 246 lbs Sr
DE 6'3" 242 lbs Fr
DE 6'3" 243 lbs Fr
DE 6'1" 265 lbs Sr
DE 6'3" 265 lbs Fr
DT 6'2" 287 lbs Sr
DT 6'1" 274 lbs Sr
DT 6'1" 316 lbs Fr
DL 6'4" 301 lbs Jr
DL 6'2" 247 lbs Sr
DT 6'2" 295 lbs Fr
DT 6'3" 291 lbs Sr
DT 6'3" 307 lbs Sr
DT 6'2" 249 lbs Fr
Obi Udom #92
DT 6'3" 275 lbs Fr
DT 6'0" 279 lbs So
LB 6'0" 226 lbs Sr
LB 6'2" 213 lbs Fr
LB 6'2" 237 lbs Sr
LB 5'11" 227 lbs So
LB 6'3" 242 lbs Sr
LB 6'2" 210 lbs Fr
Kam Moore #30
LB 6'1" 205 lbs Jr
LB 5'11" 226 lbs Fr
LB 6'1" 210 lbs Fr
LB 6'1" 220 lbs Fr
LB 6'3" 200 lbs Fr
LB 6'2" 194 lbs Jr
LB 6'1" 228 lbs Sr
LB 6'3" 220 lbs Fr
CB 5'11" 181 lbs Sr
CB 6'0" 184 lbs Fr
CB 6'0" 180 lbs So
CB 5'11" 169 lbs Fr
CB 6'0" 187 lbs Fr
CB 6'0" 184 lbs Fr
CB 6'0" 185 lbs Fr
CB 6'2" 190 lbs Fr
CB 6'2" 182 lbs Sr
S 6'1" 183 lbs Fr
S 6'1" 183 lbs So
Joe Drew #38
S 6'3" 190 lbs Fr
S 5'11" 182 lbs Jr
DB 5'10" 177 lbs So
DB 5'11" 180 lbs Fr
DB 6'0" 185 lbs So
TJ Hill #33
S 6'2" 197 lbs Fr
S 6'2" 197 lbs Jr
S 5'10" 187 lbs Sr
S 5'10" 190 lbs Jr
BJ Wagner #16
S 6'2" 199 lbs Sr
S 6'1" 195 lbs Fr
Special Teams
3 players
Player Pos Ht Wt Yr
LS 6'0" 221 lbs So
LS 6'1" 197 lbs Fr
LS 6'0" 211 lbs Fr